
In case you haven't voted in the "Gore'08 Delta Poll", which allows readers to vote for Al Gore (who was unfortunately missing in myDD's July straw poll) as their preferred nominee for 2008, here is the link:
http://www.mydd.com/story/2005/7/13/103215/913
Calculations (data as of 9am ET on 7/17):
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Straw poll turnout: 1740 votes cast
Delta poll turnout: 142 votes cast
Ratio of turnouts (straw/delta): 12.25
Using an exposure factor of 5 (i.e. for every five people that got to see the main straw poll, one of them got to see the Delta poll), we get these figures.
Numbers:
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Straw Poll raw vote count:
Gore (Omitted), Clark (566), FeinGold (243), Hillary (196), Edwards (138), Warner (187), Richardson (93), Bayh (59), Biden/Kerry/Others (258)
Delta Poll raw vote count:
Gore (96), Clark (-17), FeinGold (-8), Hillary (-6), Edwards (-1), Warner (0), Richardson (-1), Bayh (0), Biden/Kerry/Others (-11)
Adjusted Delta Poll (multiplied by 5):
Delta Poll:
Gore (480), Clark (-85), FeinGold (-40), Hillary (-30), Edwards (-5), Warner (0), Richardson (-5), Bayh (0), Biden/Kerry/Others (-55)
Aggregate Net Results (w/ exposure factor = 5)
Gore (480, 24%), Clark (481, 24.1%), FeinGold (203, 10.2%), Hillary (166, 8.3%), Edwards (133, 6.7%), Warner (187, 9.4%), Richardson (88, 4.4%), Bayh (59, 3%), Biden/Kerry/Others (203, 10.2%)
Findings:
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Notes:
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